Global Temperature Drops in About 2014 as the Sun Dims
Pulkovo Observatory Astronomer, 2012: Earth Will See 'the Temperature Drop in Approximately 2014'
Habibullo Abdussamatov said a fading Sun would tip the planet into deep cooling around 2014, then a Little Ice Age by 2055. 2014 set a record for heat.
What was said
“The Earth as a planet will henceforward have negative balance in the energy budget which will result in the temperature drop in approximately 2014.”
— Habibullo Abdussamatov (head of space research, Pulkovo Observatory, St. Petersburg) · said 2012 · due Approximately 2014
NASA and NOAA, January 16, 2015: 'The year 2014 ranks as Earth's warmest since 1880.'
The Story
From the paper's abstract, which goes on: 'The onset of the deep bicentennial minimum of TSI is expected in 2042±11, that of the 19 th Little Ice Age in the past 7500 years – in 2055±11.' That later date is still open.
Receipts
- Bicentennial Decrease of the Total Solar Irradiance Leads to Unbalanced Thermal Budget of the Earth and the Little Ice Age - H.I. Abdussamatov, Applied Physics Research 4(1), 2012accessed 2026-10-09
- NASA, NOAA Find 2014 Warmest Year in Modern Record - NASA release 15-010 (January 16, 2015)accessed 2026-10-09
As of Oct 25, 2026
since it didn't happen
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