A 'Near Certainty' of Civilization's Collapse Within Decades
Paul Ehrlich, 2018: A 'Shattering Collapse of Civilisation' Is 'a Near Certainty in the Next Few Decades'
Fifty years after The Population Bomb, its author said the book's timing was off but its conclusion stood, and set a new clock.
What was said
“It is a near certainty in the next few decades, and the risk is increasing continually as long as perpetual growth of the human enterprise remains the goal of economic and political systems”
— Paul R. Ehrlich (biologist, Stanford University; author of The Population Bomb) · said Mar 22, 2018 · due 'The next few decades' from March 2018 (filed as 2048)
The Story
'It' is 'the threat of a shattering collapse of civilisation'. 'A few decades' has no fixed end; this file uses 30 years. The interview also says: 'Many details and timings of events were wrong, Paul Ehrlich acknowledges today, but he says the book was correct overall.'
His earlier deadlines: population-bomb-1970s, ehrlich-starving-1980, ehrlich-england-2000, ehrlich-scarcity-1985.